Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.188769 0.212869 0.238299 0.267074 0.298673 0.332258 0.370594
2025-06-01 0.155053 0.187319 0.223270 0.266100 0.315531 0.370578 0.436299
2025-06-08 0.130784 0.167831 0.211102 0.264956 0.329737 0.404687 0.497462
2025-06-15 0.115602 0.156487 0.206252 0.270565 0.350688 0.446388 0.568422
2025-06-22 0.101137 0.143961 0.198132 0.270599 0.363791 0.478313 0.628231
2025-06-29 0.089271 0.133204 0.190801 0.270330 0.375583 0.508256 0.686014
2025-07-06 0.079422 0.123918 0.184245 0.270025 0.386575 0.536913 0.742580
2025-07-13 0.072246 0.117484 0.180741 0.273120 0.401636 0.570843 0.806624
2025-07-20 0.067346 0.113750 0.180487 0.280313 0.422145 0.612299 0.881577
2025-07-27 0.061620 0.108144 0.176965 0.282392 0.435314 0.643992 0.944158
2025-08-03 0.057596 0.104723 0.176262 0.288249 0.453744 0.683175 1.017807
2025-08-10 0.054448 0.102357 0.176863 0.295859 0.474754 0.726368 1.098017
2025-08-17 0.049142 0.096089 0.171198 0.293982 0.482254 0.751460 1.154836
2025-08-24 0.044670 0.090771 0.166585 0.293328 0.491360 0.778978 1.215793
2025-08-31 0.040602 0.085729 0.161988 0.292299 0.499660 0.805394 1.275765
2025-09-07 0.038279 0.083585 0.161981 0.298498 0.519157 0.848690 1.361251
2025-09-14 0.035119 0.079549 0.158424 0.298596 0.528971 0.877714 1.426453
2025-09-21 0.032213 0.075682 0.154838 0.298336 0.538039 0.905701 1.490675
2025-09-28 0.029579 0.072064 0.151389 0.298023 0.546854 0.933384 1.554981
2025-10-05 0.027700 0.069778 0.150159 0.301390 0.561685 0.970633 1.634562
2025-10-12 0.026555 0.068907 0.151461 0.309199 0.584065 1.020170 1.734025
2025-10-19 0.024799 0.066532 0.149733 0.311456 0.597127 1.055288 1.812006
2025-10-26 0.023659 0.065394 0.150287 0.317810 0.617281 1.102118 1.909173